Microsoft – MSFT Stock Forecast & Analysis

STOCK GRAPH (3 months)

INDUSTRY GRAPH (3 months)

RECOMMENDATION (REC)

BUY

REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.

VALUE

Current Price: $453.52
Current Value: $327.13

MSFT has a current Value of $327.13 per share; compared to a Price of $453.52 per share, this stock is currently overvalued. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates.

UPSIDE POTENTIAL (Relative Value/RV)

GOOD

RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. MSFT has an RV of 1.20, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk.

SAFETY (Relative Safety/RS)

EXCELLENT

RS is an indicator of risk. MSFT has an RS of 1.40, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors.

TIMING (Relative Timing/RT)

FAIR

RT analyzes a stock's price trend. MSFT has a Relative Timing of 1.04, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements day-over-day, week-over-week, quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00.

OVERALL RATING (Value-Safety-Timing/VST)

GOOD

VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. MSFT has a VST rating of 1.22, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing.

STOP (Stop-Price)

Stop Price: $403.34

Stop is an indicator of when to sell a position. MSFT has a Stop of $403.34 per share. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals.

CI (Comfort Index)

FAIR

CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. MSFT has a CI of 0.89, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history.

GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. MSFT has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of 16.00 %, which VectorVest considers to be very good.

EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. MSFT has a forecasted EPS of $13.01 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. MSFT has a P/E of 34.86. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 74.23.

EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. MSFT has an EY of 2.87 %. This is above the current average of 1.35 % for all the stocks in the VectorVest database.

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio):  MSFT has a GPE rating of 0.46. This stock, with a GPE less than 1.00, is commonly considered to be overvalued.

DIV (Dividend):   VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. MSFT pays an annual dividend of $3.32 per share.

DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects dividend per share as a percent of Price. MSFT has a Dividend Yield of 0.73 %. This is below the current average of 1.03 % for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.

DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. MSFT has a Dividend Safety of 93, which is excellent on a scale of 0 to 99. Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.

DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a forecasted annual growth rate of a company's dividend based on historical dividend payments and dividend predictability. It is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. MSFT has a Dividend Growth of 13.00 %. This is above the current average of 7.00 % for all the stocks in the VectorVest database.

YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DY, DS and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. MSFT has a YSG Rating of 1.15, which is good. Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for somewhat above current income and long-term growth.

AvgVol:  AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. MSFT has an AvgVol of 19,768,881 shares traded per day.

%Vol:  %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals ((Volume - AvgVol) / AvgVol ) * 100. MSFT had a %Vol of -48.70 % on Thursday, December 12, 2024

%PRC: MSFT Price changed 1.01 % from the prior day's closing price.

Sales: MSFT has annual sales of 254,190,000,000

Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. MSFT has a Sales Growth of 16.00 % per year. This is very good.

Sales Per Share (SPS): MSFT has annual sales of $34.19 per share.

Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): MSFT has a P/S of 13.27.

Shares: MSFT has 7,434,000,000 shares of stock outstanding.

Market Capitalization: MSFT has a Market Capitalization of 3,371,866,000,000.

Business Sector: MSFT has been assigned to the Software Business Sector. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.

Industry Group: MSFT has been assigned to the Software (Desktop) Industry Group. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.